Ethereum may hit $8,500 if Bitcoin reaches $150,000, driven by past market cap ratios, institutional demand, and ETF inflows.
Ethereum’s price may surge past $8,500 if Bitcoin reaches $150,000, according to market analysis.
This prediction comes from crypto trader Yashasedu, who based the estimate on Ethereum’s historical relationship with Bitcoin’s market cap. From past bull cycles, Ethereum’s market cap has often reached between 30% and 35% of Bitcoin’s.
In essence, if that pattern repeats, the next Bitcoin rally could push Ethereum to new all-time highs.
Ethereum Price History Supports the Prediction
Ethereum could hit $8,500 if Bitcoin taps $150,000 because of its historical correlation with the flagship asset. During the last bull market, Ethereum’s market cap reached 36% of Bitcoin’s, which sent its price to $4,697. At current levels, Bitcoin is trading near $120,000. This means that a 25% climb to $150,000 would give Ethereum room to rise as well.
In major bull runs, $ETH typically hits 30-35% of Bitcoin’s mcap.
2017: ~35%
2021: ~36%We’re seeing similar setup now👇
> TVL on @ethereum crossed $90B after 2022
> Institutions buy billions of dollars worth of $ETH
> Billions of dollars of ETF inflow
> Stocks transitioning… pic.twitter.com/xuaCOAfw9P— YashasEdu (@YashasEdu) August 10, 2025
Yashasedu’s analysis shows that even a conservative market cap ratio of 21.7% would place Ethereum’s price around $5,376 if Bitcoin reached $150,000. At 30%, Ethereum could trade near $7,420, while a full 35% share would push it close to $8,656.
Institutional Interest and ETFs Boost Ethereum’s Case
Ethereum’s total value locked (TVL) recently passed $90 billion according to DefiLlama. This metric measures the amount of crypto held in defi protocols and shows a growing rate of activity.
At the same time, institutional interest in Ethereum is increasing.
Spot Ethereum ETFs saw $1.01 billion in net inflows in a single day earlier this week, which is the highest daily total on record. These inflows indicate that institutional investors are setting up for further gains. In addition, blockchain technology company BitMine Immersion Technologies just announced plans to raise $20 billion for Ethereum purchases.
Bitcoin Price Outlook Shows More Upside
Ethereum’s bullishness is tied closely to Bitcoin’s performance. Multiple analysts expect Bitcoin to break well above $150,000 in the next few months. Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, and Unchained’s Joe Burnett believe Bitcoin could reach between $180,000 and $250,000 by the end of the year.
On the other hand, global liquidity, rising institutional adoption and record spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are fueling these predictions.
According to BitMEX’s Hayes, Bitcoin’s value is strongly influenced by expectations for future fiat currency supply, which are currently pointing upward.
Possible Risks and the Outlook For Next Year
While the near-term setup looks bullish, some analysts are warning of a possible correction next year. Market cycle models indicate that there is a possibility of a downturn similar to past crypto winters.
However, several experts are arguing that Bitcoin and ETH are now more closely tied to macroeconomic trends than in previous cycles. This could change traditional patterns and lead to differences in behaviour in this cycle.
On-chain analyst Willy Woo noted that Bitcoin’s “Risk Signal” is trending lower. This means that there is some strong buy-side liquidity. The last time this occurred, Bitcoin gained over 200% in a year.
If Bitcoin continues this way, Ethereum’s price targets may be conservative.
Ethereum is currently trading near $4,630, which is just 5.35% below its all-time high of $4,878. Yashasedu believes ETH will not cool off until it breaks above this milestone.
$ETH has surged more than 100% in less than two months.
This move is comparable to the $BTC ETF launch, when #Bitcoin continued to rally upwards.
We’ll likely see a new ATH for $ETH and then some consolidation.
There’s way more to come for this cycle. pic.twitter.com/Ah4hZkPecK
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) August 12, 2025
MN Trading Capital founder Michaël van de Poppe believes the same thing and is predicting a new record high followed by a consolidation phase.